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Tuesday, October 19, 2010


Why Home Sales Dropped Dramatically in July from June Or Why Were We Surprised When Buyers Were Incentivized?

In the week of August 23, blasted throughout the news was existing home sales nationally dropped 27% in July from June. This was reported as the biggest monthly percentage decline on record. The Greater Phoenix residential market faired slightly better with a 24% decrease. A large percentage drop in July sales was expected for Greater Phoenix. Why The Large Percentage Drop for Sales in July Was Expected Why did sales drop in July? Because the affect of the tax credit(s) were worn out! Many buyers bought because of the two tax credits: The first time homebuyer’s tax credit up to $8,000 and the move up buyer’s tax credit up to $6,500. To qualify buyers had to be under contract by April 30, 2010 and close by June 30 (at the end of June the close of escrow date was extended to September 30). The April 30 deadline led to a surge of buyers going under contract in March and April. So, before you believe the Headlines in the News....look at the statistics...it's not all doom and gloom!

What It Takes to Get a Loan

Lenders loosen their grip, but your credit history will decide whether you get a mortgage. When the financial crisis hit, many banks became tightfisted, and plenty of potential borrowers walked away empty-handed. But financial institutions have emerged from the recession stronger and ready to lend. "Credit is available. No question about it," says James Chessen, chief economist for the American Bankers Association. "Banks are being careful because the economy is still weak, but I don't know a bank out there that's not anxious to make a loan." Keep in mind that from mortgages to car loans, your credit history and score matter more than they did prior to the crunch. Rates are at rock-bottom levels for borrowers with top-tier credit -- generally credit scores above 720. Before you shop rates, get your credit reports at www.annualcreditreport.com and check for errors. And buy your credit score from Equifax for $7.95 (or get a free score that's similar to the ones that lenders use from CreditKarma.com). That way you can see where you stand before you apply for a loan. Mortgages: Stricter rules Mortgage lenders want to make loans now, and they may even bid against one another for your business. But lending standards remain tight, and you must be prepared to produce a mound of paperwork to document your income and assets. Rates are as low as they were in the 1950s, so going through the motions could pay off. In mid September, the average interest rate for a 30-year, fixed-rate conforming loan -- a mortgage of $417,000 or less -- was 4.5%, according to HSH Associates, a mortgage-tracking firm. The initial rate for a 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgage (a fixed rate for five years, followed by annual adjustments) was 3.6%. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration continue to dominate the mortgage market, setting the standards for the loans that lenders make and sell to investors. So lenders strive to dot every i and cross every t when they qualify you. If you're buying or refinancing the mortgage on your primary home, you'll need a minimum down payment of 5% to 10% for a conforming loan or 10% to 15% for a conforming jumbo loan (125% of a metro area's median home price, up to $729,750). With 20% or more down, you avoid private mortgage insurance, which typically costs 0.5% to 1.5% of your loan amount per year. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac allow a minimum credit score of 620 if you have at least 25% equity in the property or a score of 660 with equity of less than 25%; you'll get the best rate if your score exceeds 720. The FHA will soon require a minimum credit score of 580 to qualify with a down payment of 3.5%, but FHA lenders often impose a higher minimum score of 670. In addition to your credit, lenders will also scrutinize your ability to pay, starting with your ratio of debt to income. Monthly housing expenses (principal, interest, taxes, hazard insurance, private mortgage insurance and association fees) shouldn't account for more than 28% of gross monthly income. Total debt shouldn't exceed 36% of gross income, but in some cases lenders stretch the maximum to 45%. Chris Bennett, a loan officer with HomeServices Lending, in Charlotte, N.C., says that he surprises borrowers "all the time" with preapproval of their loan when they aren't expecting it. Even people with lower credit scores may qualify if they have stable employment, a history of paying rent and credit lines on time, and money in the bank or in a retirement account. However, Bennett also counsels some borrowers to delay their home purchase long enough to improve their credit score, eliminate debt, get a raise and save more money. They might earn a better interest rate, improving their buying power. Plus, he says, "it's not good to lay out every bit of cash you have if you won't have money for a rainy day." Prove it. At a minimum, you must supply your pay stubs for the past 30 days and W-2 forms for the past two years. Lenders will want to see bank, retirement-account and investment statements for the past 60 days. Bennett says three types of borrowers will face additional requirements: If you're self-employed or if 25% or more of your income is from commissions or bonuses, you must provide two years of tax returns. Lenders will average your income over the past two years to figure your debt-to-income ratio. If you have pursued opportunities to reduce your taxable income, you may not have sufficient income to qualify even though you may have a lot of money in the bank. Community banks, credit unions and other lenders that typically keep their loans on their own books are the best bet for borrowers with low incomes and high assets, says Bennett. If you want to rent out your home and buy a new one, you must provide a signed lease for a minimum of 12 months. You can use only 75% of rental income to help qualify for the mortgage, and you must have at least 30% equity in your former home. If you and your spouse are relocating for work and your spouse doesn't have a job yet, you must qualify for the loan based on one income unless your spouse has a signed agreement with an employer to begin work within 45 days of closing the loan. Even if you qualify, you can throw a monkey wrench into the final loan approval if you take on new debt that could affect your credit score or your debt-to-income ratio. Some lenders pull another credit report just before closing. Another possible sticking point is the appraisal. Overly generous appraisals helped to fuel the housing bubble. Now, miserly ones may thwart your closing, says Guy Cecala, publisher of the newsletter Inside Mortgage Finance. Lenders will estimate the value of your home conservatively, and appraisers are generally following suit, especially if the local market is in flux. By Jessica L. Anderson, Associate Editor Courtesy of Kiplinger

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

New Jobs Coming to Phoenix

Charles Schwab Corp. is buying a nine-acre parcel of land from the city of Phoenix that could help create 400 new jobs. The new land will be used to facilitate job growth at Schwab’s main location near 24th Street and Lincoln Drive, dubbed the Peak Campus. The financial services company is paying $2.06 million for the land, according to Phoenix economic development program manager Bruce MacTurk. The deal is expected to close in the spring and Schwab will use the land for surface parking. The new parking should be ready by third quarter 2011. “We are at our capacity for parking. We’re running shuttles from temporary locations,” said Schwab Chief Financial Office Joe Martinetto. Schwab has about 3,200 employees locally, making it one of the largest private employees in the Valley. The company intends to hire 200 employees by the end of the year and 400 more jobs in the next several years. About one-third of Schwab’s employees are located at a South Mountain campus near 48th Street and Baseline Road. The rest are at the 24th Street location. Schwab’s operations in Phoenix are its largest in the country. “We’ve found that Phoenix is a great place to fill jobs. It’s an educated, diverse work force. We’ve had great success there,” Martinetto said. Currently a Phoenix police precinct is located on the land Schwab will acquire. The city is building a new precinct nearby, which should be ready in February. After the police move, the old precinct building will be razed and the sale will be consummated. The price of the land was based upon an independent appraisal, MacTurk said. He said it’s a good deal for everyone, and should create new jobs in Phoenix. “We’ve had a longstanding relationship with Schwab for some 18, 19 years,” MacTurk said. The company opened a service center in Phoenix in 1992. It purchased the Peak Campus in 1995. Article courtesy of PBJ

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

How Interest Rates Affect the Price of a Home

That sounds like a simple question. Of course a lower rate means a lower monthly payment. But how much of a difference does that really make. I’ve heard people overly-simplify the issue by saying that a 1% change in rate is roughly the same as a 10% change in price. Let’s look into this a little closer and see if it holds up. We’ve all heard that interest rates today are at all-time lows. I think we take that for granted, so it helps to include this chart that goes back to 1975. It shows a 36-year average of mortgage rates. The BLUE LINE is 30 year fixed rates and since that is the most popular program, that is what we will focus on. As you can see by the graph, mortgage rates in 2010 are truly lower than anything we have seen in our lifetimes. Current average 30 year fixed mortgage rates are around 4.375%. If you were to purchase a home with a $400,000 home loan, the monthly principal and interest payment at that rate would be $1,997. Now let’s see how raising the rate to the 2000 average of 8.05% affects the payment. That’s not all that long ago. The payment at same loan amount at the 2000 rate is $2,949. We increased the rate by 3.675% and that resulted in a 48% increase in payment! That seems worse than the 1% rate to 10% price ratio, but let’s look at it from a price perspective. That increase in payment from $1,997 to $2,949 is the same as raising the loan amount from $400,000 to $590,646. That is also a 48% increase in loan amount. If the down payment is the same percentage for each example, then it also results in a 48% increase in sales price. So for this example we discovered that a 3.675% increase in rate equals a 48% increase in price. It also means a 1% increase in rate is equivalent to a 13% increase in sales price. Don’t think I chose a year with an exceptionally high rate. I could have used 1981 where rates were 16.63%! In fact, the average rate over the 36 years is 9%. I chose 2000 because it wasn’t that far back in history. The lesson here is that we must recognize what an amazing opportunity we have to borrow money at this specific point in history. Years from now we can look at an updated version of this graph and see the low point, and remember what a great deal we got in 2010.
Chris Mozilo NMLS# 183726; AZ LO-0912308; BKBR-0115591; CA-DOC 183726

Friday, October 8, 2010

We Are The Valley - Banding Together For AZ Charities

If you attended the 4th Annual Taste of the Biltmore last night, you know what a fabulous event it was. Hosted by National Bank of Arizona, this event kicked off the social season with some of the finest local restaurants, class entertainment and the opportunity to support local charities. This year, 11 local charities partnered together creating WE ARE THE VALLEY - BANDING TOGETHER FOR ARIZONA CHARITIES. This program was pulled together by Dave Dodge as a way of increasing awareness of their programs while raise much needed funds. Together they created limited edition Giving Bands; available at http://www.wearethevalley.com/. Each band represents a valley non-profit organization. They are earth friendly, made in America and assembled by adults with disabilities. Collect them all and create your own stack. 11 Participating Non-Profit Organizations: The Arthritis Foundation Juvenile Diabetes Research Foundation Cystic Fibrosis Foundation Camp Soaring Eagle Phoenix Suns Charities Gabriel's Angels Sleep America Charities Keogh Health Connection Chrysalis Face in the Mirror The Great Canadian Picnic

Thursday, October 7, 2010

Scottsdale is #1 - Best City for Babies

According to Parent Magazine - The 10 Best Cities for Babies...Scottsdale Arizona is ranked #1 1. Scottsdale, Arizona Population 238,715 Child Care B+ Family Safety A+ Fun for You and Baby A- Infant Health B Money Matters B This western town is far from wild. Scottsdale's stellar safety record helped earn it the #1 spot on our list. "It's common to see moms pushing strollers around the neighborhoods, even at night," says police chief Alan Rodbell. "Our crime rate is the lowest it's ever been -- which is well below the national average -- so families can enjoy the outdoors." Scottsdale has plenty of recreation space too, with 67 miles of paved trails and 105 miles of bike lanes. There are 22 playgrounds with baby swings, and because of the warm-year-round climate, many also include pop-up fountains. "Outsiders think of Scottsdale as a retirement community, but there are a good number of active, health-conscious families here," says Joy Cherrick, founder of the Scottsdale Moms Blog, whose daughter, Reagan, is 14 months. "A lot of moms make their own baby food and buy locally, whether it's produce from the farmers' market or baby toys from one of the many downtown shops." Plenty of child-care centers and pediatricians, as well as a fairly low unemployment rate (6.4 percent at press time) also make for easy living with a baby. Photo by Alexandra Grablewski Our Grading Key: A-- Awesome B--Very Good C--Not Bad D--Below Average F--Terrible Courtesy of Parents Magazine